{"id":3904,"date":"2022-08-14T15:39:21","date_gmt":"2022-08-14T11:39:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/journal.geonatres.az\/?p=3904"},"modified":"2022-08-14T15:47:56","modified_gmt":"2022-08-14T11:47:56","slug":"az%c9%99rbaycanda-yanacagin-istifad%c9%99sind%c9%99n-atmosfer%c9%99-atilan-karbon-qazinin-perspektiv-qiym%c9%99tl%c9%99ndirilm%c9%99si","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/journal.geonatres.az\/en\/az%c9%99rbaycanda-yanacagin-istifad%c9%99sind%c9%99n-atmosfer%c9%99-atilan-karbon-qazinin-perspektiv-qiym%c9%99tl%c9%99ndirilm%c9%99si\/","title":{"rendered":"PROSPECTIVE EVALUATION OF CARBON DIOXID EMISSIONS FROM FUEL USE IN AZERBAIJAN"},"content":{"rendered":"

M.G. Mekhtiyev<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nAbstract<\/strong><\/p>\n

The article shows how to create a model for predicting carbon dioxide emissions from fuel combustion. The purpose of creating the model is to study the possibility of fulfilling the obligations of the Republic of Azerbaijan under the Paris Agreement on global climate change.
\nThe macroeconomic indicators of the country were used as indicators for the model, i.e. population, gross domestic product, fuel production and consumption. To build the forecast, statistical estimates of macroeconomic indicators for 2015\u20132020 were taken. To assess the adequacy of the model of the real situation, the “inconsistency coefficient” of Theil was used.<\/p>\n

\nKeywords<\/strong>: climate change, Paris Agreement, macroeconomic indicators, gross domestic product, fuel energy, greenhouse gases,<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

REFERENCES<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. BMT-nin \u0130qlim D\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259l\u0259ri haqq\u0131nda \u00c7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 Konvensiyas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 T\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin 21-ci Konfrans\u0131nda q\u0259bul olunmu\u015f Paris Sazi\u015finin t\u0259sdiq edilm\u0259si haqq\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Qanunu. M\u0259nb\u0259: http:\/\/www.e-qanun.az\/framework\/34278.<\/p>\n

2. Information to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) on the In-tended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) of the Republic of Azerbaijan. Source: https:\/\/www4.unfccc.int\/sites\/ndcstaging\/PublishedDocuments\/Azerbaijan%20First\/INDC%20Azerbaijan.pdf.<\/p>\n

3. Stockholm Environment Institute (SE\u0130), Bos-ton Center, Tellus Institute. Source: https:\/\/openei.org\/wiki\/Long_range_Energy_Alternatives_Planning_(LEAP)_System.<\/p>\n

4. Modell\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259, proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma v\u0259 t\u0259hlil \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn MARKAL\/TIMES modell\u0259ri. M\u0259nb\u0259: https:\/\/www.climatexchange.org.uk\/research\/projects\/using-the-times-model-in-developing-energy-policy\/<\/p>\n

5. MARKAL\/TIMES \u2014 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0437\u0430. \u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a: https:\/\/u-money.ru\/biznes\/markal-times-modeli-dlya-modelirovaniya-prognozirovaniya-i-analiza\/<\/p>\n

6. \u041a\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0430\u043d, \u0420., \u041d. \u0421\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0447\u0430\u043d, \u0421. \u041f\u0430\u0439, \u0413. \u0410\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0434\u0436\u0430\u0445 \u0438 \u041d. \u0411\u0430\u043b\u0442\u0430-\u041e\u0437\u043a\u0430\u043d (2007 \u0433.). \u0414\u043e\u043a\u0443\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c UK MARKAL. \u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a: www.ucl.ac.uk\/energy-models\/models\/uk-markal.<\/p>\n

7. \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u044b \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0431\u0430\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0430 \u0438 \u0432\u044b\u0431\u0440\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0432 \u043f\u0430\u0440\u043d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u0433\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 ru-times \u0434\u043e 2050 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0430. \u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a: https:\/\/www.iep.ru\/files\/Nauchniy_vestnik.ru\/5-2014\/39-43.pdf<\/p>\n

8. \u0417\u0438\u043a \u0425\u0430\u0443\u0441\u0444\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0440 \u0438 \u0434\u0440. \u201c\u041e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u044d\u0444\u0444\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0448\u043b\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u0432 \u043a\u043b\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439\u201d. \u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a: https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1029\/2019GL085378.<\/p>\n

9. BMT-nin \u0130qlim D\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259l\u0259ri \u00fczr\u0259 \u00c7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 Konvensiyas\u0131na Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc Milli M\u0259lumatlar\u0131 (Azerbaijan. National Communication NC3). M\u0259nb\u0259: https:\/\/unfccc.int\/documents\/67586.<\/p>\n

10. BMT-nin \u0130qlim D\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259l\u0259ri \u00fczr\u0259 \u00c7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 Konvensiyas\u0131na Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc Milli M\u0259lumatlar\u0131 (Azerbaijan. National Communication NC4). M\u0259nb\u0259: https:\/\/unfccc.int\/documents\/299472<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Publication Date<\/strong>: May 20, 2022<\/p>\n

Download the article<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M.G. Mekhtiyev Abstract The article shows how to create a model for predicting carbon dioxide emissions from fuel combustion. The purpose of creating the model is to study the possibility of fulfilling the obligations of the Republic of Azerbaijan under the Paris Agreement on global climate change. 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